NEW ORLEANS – An upper level fault / wave will move towards Louisiana today. This will bring more clouds along with spotty showers. High temperatures will be in the mid 80s. Tonight it’s mostly cloudy and muggy with a stray shower possible. Deep in the north in the upper 60s and in the south in the 70s.
The disruption will overtake us on Friday. It will pick up some moisture that comes from a tropical wave over the eastern gulf. This will trigger isolated showers and storms. Some downpours will be possible. High temperatures will be in the lower 80’s.
Weekend forecast: The upper level disruption will clear the area on Saturday when a weak cold front pervades through. We will have spotty showers during the day. Otherwise it will be partly to mostly cloudy, warm and a little less humid with highs in the lower 80s. Sunday is partly cloudy, dry, and less humid with highs in the lower to mid 80s.
Outlook next week: Forecast models continue to shower a much stronger cold front. However, they do not coincide with the timing. The American model shows Thursday but the euro holds up until Friday. Hopefully they’ll be more united this weekend. At the moment it looks like we have MUCH cooler temperatures for Halloween!
Eye on the tropics: Hurricane Epsilon quickly turned into a major Category 3 hurricane on Wednesday. It will start battling wind shear today, so it looks like it has reached its peak intensity. It triggered a unique trochoidal wobble last night that is typical of slow hurricanes. This resulted in the route being a little further west, but will return north again today. The prognosis route leads east of Bermuda. Then on Saturday it turns northeast and goes as a strong non-tropical low into the North Atlantic.
Low pressure prevails over the western Caribbean. It is disorganized and this system is unlikely to develop as it spans Cuba and the Florida Straits. However, once it moves over the northwestern Bahamas late weekend and the next week, slow development is possible as it moves northeast. This is not a threat to the Gulf of Mexico. NHC gives it a slim chance to develop.
Elsewhere … the rest of the tropics will be calm for the next 5 days.
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Detailed forecast:
Mixture of sun and clouds, warm and humid with a 30% chance of showering. Altitudes: 84.Wind E 6-12 miles per hour.
Partly cloudy, muggy and a stray shower with a bit of mottled fog. Lows north: 69 and south: 73. Wind E 3-8 miles an hour.
Mostly cloudy, warm and humid with a 60% chance of showers and storms. Altitudes: 82.Wind NE 6-12 miles per hour.
Mixture of sun and clouds, warm and humid with a 30% chance of showering. Lows North: 68 and South: 71.Highs: 83.
Partly cloudy, warm and less humid. North lows: 65 and south: 70. Highs: 84.
Partly cloudy, warm and humid with a 20% chance of showering. Lows North: 67 and South: 70. Highs: 85.
Mostly cloudy, warm and humid with a 30% chance for showers. Lows North: 68 and South: 71.Highs: 84.
Mostly cloudy, warm and humid with a 60% chance of showers and storms. North lows: 68 and south: 72. Highs: 81.
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